Saturday, October 23, 2004

Zogby: Bush Retains 4 point lead

Election 2004 Reuters/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Bush Still Ahead (48%-44%); President Supported by Democrats (14%); Fewer Republicans Support Kerry (5%), New Reuters/Zogby Poll Reveals


Three days after the final presidential debate, President Bush retains his four-point lead over Senator John Kerry, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The telephone poll of 1211 likely voters was conducted from Wednesday through Friday (October 13-15, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Republican - George W. Bush
48
48
46

Democrat - John Kerry
44
44
45

Independent - Ralph Nader
1.0
1.1
1

Libertarian - Michael Badnarik
.4
.7
.7

Constitution - Michael Peroutka
--
--
--

Green - David Cobb
.2
.1
--

Other
.7
.5
.4

Undecided
6
6
7


Pollster John Zogby: “Bush led by 4 today-- the first full day sample after the debate. Kerry gets 81% of support among Democrats while Bush gets 14%, but Bush gets 92% among Republican to Kerry's 5%-- and, of course, the two are tied among Independents and also Catholics.

Zogby International conducted interviews of 1231 likely voters chosen at random nationwide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from October 13 through October 15, 2004. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender, to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.


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